Weather update 9/22/23 9:00 AM
Heavy rain, gusty winds, and minor to moderate coastal flooding are expected late Friday night through Sunday afternoon across the region, including Queen Anne’s County.
As of Thursday evening’s forecast, the weather disturbance remains classified as a Potential Tropical Cyclone, meaning the system has not yet fully developed, but is close enough to impacting land to prompt the issuance of Tropical Storm Warnings along portions of the Mid-Atlantic Coastline. At this time, Queen Anne’s County is not under a Tropical Storm Warning. However, impacts are still expected across Queen Anne’s County this weekend as a result of this system.
Minimal changes have been made to the overall forecast since this morning’s update. The system is forecast to reach Tropical Storm intensity on Friday prior to reaching the North Carolina Coastline on Saturday. Impacts from the system will expand far from the system’s center, with rain and gusty winds to begin in Queen Anne’s County late Friday night into early Saturday morning.
The worst impacts from the system in Queen Anne’s County are expected late Saturday morning through Saturday night, with lingering rainfall and breezy conditions to linger through Sunday as the system passes over the Delmarva and exits off the New Jersey Coast.
Rainfall: Total rainfall amounts of 2-4 (locally 6) inches remain forecast. Flash flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas will be possible.
Wind: Peak sustained winds of 30-35 mph with gusts of 40-45 mph are forecast, with the strongest gusts to occur along the coastline.
Coastal Flooding: Forecasted peak storm surge of 1-3 feet is forecast for the Chesapeake Bay. Minor to moderate coastal flooding will be possible, especially during the high tide cycle on Saturday afternoon.
Tornadoes: Although an isolated tornado is not to be ruled out, the areas most at risk for an isolated tornado is currently south of Queen Anne’s County.